The numbers behind your GW1 squad,
in the open.
Expected points, built across four layers you can inspect — team scoring, minutes, involvement, 10,000 simulated gameweeks. Then optimised into your best opening squad.
Lock in the players you’ve already made your mind up about, ban the ones you haven’t, and the optimiser finds the best 15 around them.
Man City 2.5 goals expected · 26% chance of clean sheet
45% chance this player scores in the match
Upcoming gameweek
Max xP is the model's highest-scoring 15 for the next gameweek. Elite Ownership mirrors the top-10k template by effective ownership (ownership + captain weight).
+991 vs the best set-and-forget baseline, over 38 gameweeks with hits netted off.
Every gameweek, transfer, and chip →- This model242763.9/GW
- Set-and-forget template143637.8/GW
- Set-and-forget by price108428.5/GW
Baselines are set-and-forget reference teams that never transfer — not a typical active manager.
This is a new model developed for the coming 2026-27 season. When we ran it against last season's data it made the following predictions and decisions. Past performance does not guarantee future performance. Note: this model was run using last season's BP scoring mechanism. Tweaks to the Bonus Points System are included in the model for this season.
See this week free. Pay to plan the next six.
Expected points, fixtures and the published track record stay open. You pay when you want the model to plan further than the next deadline.
- Top 100 players by xP
- 2-gameweek prediction horizon
- 1-gameweek optimiser
- 10 solves a day
- Full performance archive
Or £3.99/mo monthly. The pass saves 37%.
- Every player, every column
- 6-gameweek prediction horizon
- 6-gameweek planner, chips and hits
- 4 synced drafts · 60 solves a day
- Rivals scoring and layer inspector
What the model is reading into this season
It's early days so we can't say for sure when the double gameweeks will hit. However, we can take an educated guess based on Domestic and European Cup dates and the Premier League calendar. Here's our analysis.
Single-week expected points for opening weekend — who to start, who to captain, and where ownership leaves rank on the table.
Every club’s first six fixtures ranked by model expected-goal difference — not FPL’s 1–5 difficulty ratings.
Transfers, captain, and chips from one model — so you stop guessing.
Open any expected-points number and see how it was built.
Check the season track record — receipts, not vibes.